BNPL Down Under: Banks Strike Back With New Options, and Here Comes PayPal

BNPL: Soon to Be a Market Shakeout?

BNPL: Soon to Be a Market Shakeout?

The BNPL model, as we know it, is in a temporary state. Indeed, the pricing model will change when interest rates start to rise.  Investors will undoubtedly begin to watch sky-high credit loss rates, but perhaps not as much as regulators.  And, monoline credit business, there are too many failures along the way to expect one-trick-ponies to survive competition.

However, one of the best things about BNPL for the credit industry is how it woke up banks to merchants’ importance.  Instead of enabling consumers to pay anywhere, the current BNPL puts the merchant at the center point.

The model will change in the short term.  American Express, Citi, and Chase, all top U.S. issuers, have a post-paid model.  Now, in Australia, the market that ignited BNPL lending, comes a new bank model.  Many features make good, practical sense.

The Sydney Morning Herald reports on Commonwealth Banks business model, designed to meet Afterpay directly in the market.

And, BNPL Lenders react.

But, it will not be the last bank. U.S. and EU banks, take note.

Commonwealth’s model makes sense.  And it should satisfy many credit policy staff.  News Australia says:

If that was not enough bad news for the highly funded fintechs, consider PayPal, PayPal is also entering the Australian  BNPL market, according to DynamicBusiness.  As mentioned here, I did a PayPal Pay-in-4 transaction, and it was an excellent user experience.  PayPal brings a wide range of payment services; it will not face the monoline business issue many fintechs face.

Fintechs, make hay while the sun shines.  You inspired banks across the globe.  Now, get ready for some stiff competition!

Overview by Brian Riley, Director, Credit Advisory Service at Mercator Advisory Group

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