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Data for today’s episode is provided by Mercator Advisory Group’s Report: 18th Annual U.S. Closed-Loop Prepaid Cards Market Forecasts, 2020–2025
Forecasting U.S. In-Store Gift Card Usage:
- Mercator observed a ~7% decrease in in-store gift card loads in 2020 and forecasts a slight 1% CAGR in the 2021-2025 years.
- A smaller percentage of U.S. consumers purchased in-store gift cards in 2020 and yearly loads were less.
- Mercator forecasts the total yearly load for a U.S. adult who purchases in-store gift cards to increase by 1% into 2025.
- However, the percentage of U.S. adults who purchase a gift card will stay constant.
- Mercator estimates that consumers will load an estimated $152.7 billion onto in-store gift cards in 2025.
- Mercator believes in-store gift card loads are stagnating because consumers are moving to digital channels.
The report titled 18th Annual U.S. Closed-Loop Prepaid Cards Market Forecasts, 2020–2025 provides an analysis of the growth and development of the prepaid cards industry through 2025. The report examines loads, growth potential, and market dynamics in the United States across all closed-loop prepaid card segments.
Mercator Advisory Group’s forecast report identifies key segments that will continue to decline over the next few years as well as those that should see growth. The economy, regulation, consumer behavior, and the COVID-19 pandemic will all influence which segments grow and which decline.
“The pandemic has affected closed-loop card loads differently by segment. Digital and virtual gift cards are forecasted to continue growth amid a booming e-commerce market. As the pandemic subsides and in-store foot traffic returns, in-store gift card loads will slowly come back, however, the consumer trend towards digital channels will remain, resulting in digital and virtual cards winning market share over time,” commented David Nelyubin, Senior Analyst of Mercator Advisory Group’s Prepaid Advisory Service, the author of the report.